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In a First, Black Voter Turnout Passes Whites

 
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carolina cutie View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (3) Thanks(3)   Quote carolina cutie Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Topic: In a First, Black Voter Turnout Passes Whites
    Posted: Apr 29 2013 at 2:57am
Go Urban, Blah, Black voters.Star

If you don't like to read, just read the title for a thread sum'ray.

In a first, black voter turnout rate passes whites


WASHINGTON (AP) — America's blacks voted at a higher rate than other minority groups in 2012 and by most measures surpassed the white turnout for the first time, reflecting a deeply polarized presidential election in which blacks strongly supported Barack Obama while many whites stayed home.Ermm

Had people voted last November at the same rates they did in 2004, when black turnout was below its current historic levels, Republican Mitt Romney would have won narrowly,according to an analysis conducted for The Associated Press.

Census data and exit polling show that whites and blacks will remain the two largest racial groups of eligible voters for the next decade. Last year's heavy black turnout came despite concerns about the effect of new voter-identification laws on minority voting, outweighed by the desire to re-elect the first black president.

William H. Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution, analyzed the 2012 elections for the AP using census data on eligible voters and turnout, along with November's exit polling. He estimated total votes for Obama and Romney under a scenario where 2012 turnout rates for all racial groups matched those in 2004. Overall, 2012 voter turnout was roughly 58 percent, down from 62 percent in 2008 and 60 percent in 2004.

The analysis also used population projections to estimate the shares of eligible voters by race group through 2030. The numbers are supplemented with material from the Pew Research Center and George Mason University associate professor Michael McDonald, a leader in the field of voter turnout who separately reviewed aggregate turnout levels across states, as well as AP interviews with the Census Bureau and other experts. The bureau is scheduled to release data on voter turnout in May.

Overall, the findings represent a tipping point for blacks, who for much of America's history were disenfranchised and then effectively barred from voting until passage of the Voting Rights Act in 1965.

But the numbers also offer a cautionary note to both Democrats and Republicans after Obama won in November with a historically low percentage of white supporters. While Latinos are now the biggest driver of U.S. population growth, they still trail whites and blacks in turnout and electoral share, because many of the Hispanics in the country are children or noncitizens.

In recent weeks, Republican leaders have urged a "year-round effort" to engage black and other minority voters, describing a grim future if their party does not expand its core support beyond white males.

The 2012 data suggest Romney was a particularly weak Republican candidate, unable to motivate white voters let alone attract significant black or Latino support. Obama's personal appeal and the slowly improving economy helped overcome doubts and spur record levels of minority voters in a way that may not be easily replicated for Democrats soon.

Romney would have erased Obama's nearly 5 million-vote victory margin and narrowly won the popular vote if voters had turned out as they did in 2004, according to Frey's analysis. Then, white turnout was slightly higher and black voting lower.

More significantly, the key states of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Florida and Colorado would have tipped in favor of Romney, handing him the presidency if the outcome of other states remained the same.

"The 2012 turnout is a milestone for blacks and a huge potential turning point," said Andra Gillespie, a political science professor at Emory University who has written extensively on black politicians. "What it suggests is that there is an 'Obama effect' where people were motivated to support Barack Obama. But it also means that black turnout may not always be higher, if future races aren't as salient."

Whit Ayres, a Republican consultant who is advising Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, a possible 2016 presidential contender, says the last election reaffirmed that the Republican Party needs "a new message, a new messenger and a new tone." Change within the party need not be "lock, stock and barrel," Ayres said, but policy shifts such as Republican support for broad immigration legislation will be important to woo minority voters over the longer term.

"It remains to be seen how successful Democrats are if you don't have Barack Obama at the top of the ticket," he said.

Copyright 2012 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2013/04/28/black-voter-turnout/2120025/

White people don't vote in high numbers when a Black candidate is running? Interesting indeed.

Now what will we do with this voting power next election when the candidate is not Obama...


Edited by carolina cutie - Apr 29 2013 at 3:13am
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TokyoRose View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote TokyoRose Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Apr 29 2013 at 4:10am
An "Obama effect"?  Um...the man doesn't have that kind of power...but the Republicans do.  I think many of us sent a very strong, clear message that we aren't stupid and a rich Republican candidate who pretty much told us that he didn't give a shyt about us was NOT going to be put in the White House on OUR watch.

Was this article written by a clear person?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (2) Thanks(2)   Quote val48066 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Apr 29 2013 at 5:49am
all races are "salient" especially senate and representative races. as a community, we need to vote strongly every time the polls are open, not just for a black president. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (4) Thanks(4)   Quote EPITOME Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Apr 29 2013 at 9:12am
heeeeeeeeeeeey wealthy ladies....Mitt Mitt Mitt, Mitt Romney style
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote binky622 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Apr 29 2013 at 9:16am
they will never get it ever because their minds no matter how well meaning have a perception of non-whites and it will never change that is why they losing. case in point now all Asians are brillian
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote texasmami0117 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Apr 29 2013 at 9:30am
Originally posted by carolina cutie carolina cutie wrote:

Census data and exit polling show that whites and blacks will remain the two largest racial groups of eligible voters for the next decade.

Oh really? Let them tell it...Fucc the blacks it's all about the brown vote now. It's like we got passed over. Confused

Edited by texasmami0117 - Apr 29 2013 at 9:31am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (2) Thanks(2)   Quote Samoneisthebest Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Apr 29 2013 at 9:48am
Originally posted by binky622 binky622 wrote:

they will never get it ever because in their minds, no matter how well meaning, theyhave a perception of non-whites and it will never change. that is why they losing. case in point now all Asians are brillian  a part of a culture which places extreme stress on hard work and education and it is aiding them greatly academically. 

edited.

I somewhat agree.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote binky622 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Apr 29 2013 at 10:07am
Originally posted by Samoneisthebest Samoneisthebest wrote:

Originally posted by binky622 binky622 wrote:

they will never get it ever because in their minds, no matter how well meaning, theyhave a perception of non-whites and it will never change. that is why they losing. case in point now all Asians are brillian  a part of a culture which places extreme stress on hard work and education and it is aiding them greatly academically. 

edited.

I somewhat agree.

huh?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (2) Thanks(2)   Quote rickysrose Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Apr 29 2013 at 10:10am
I hate when they say this mess about "changing direction"

so basically if they won they could continue to shut out non-whites and stomp on their issues

if any non-white gets wooed by this nonsense, man listen
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (3) Thanks(3)   Quote rickysrose Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: Apr 29 2013 at 10:11am
in all coverage everywhere

they completely ignored black turnout

and focused on latino turnout

these people
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